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Europe Prepares for Brexit - 12/19/2018 8:26:11 AM   
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A no-deal Brexit seems more and more likely by the day.
In the United Kingdom Prime Minister Theresa May continues to try to convince enough members of Parliament to support her deal with the European Union, as there won’t be another one offered.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/economy-articles/europe-prepares-for-brexit/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 321
What to Expect from the Fed in 2019 - 12/21/2018 8:13:54 AM   
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A new rate hike was just implemented, but what lies ahead?
Since the financial crisis of 2008, the Federal Reserve has taken a very careful approach to regulating the American economy. A few years ago they saw signs that the United States are improving, shaking off the damage done by the crisis, and so the Fed began to gradually increase interest rates in accordance with inflation growth.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/economy-articles/what-to-expect-from-the-fed-in-2019/?x=FORUMS



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Post #: 322
OIL (CL/WTI): Fundamental Review and Forecast - 12/26/2018 8:14:05 AM   
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Oil is still in search of the price minimum of the year. Amid negative sentiments on the market, it is unlikely that prices will be restored quickly. However, in the long term the deals to BUY seem the most effective.
The rapid downward trend formed in October 2018 continues. A few months ago almost nobody assumed a drop in prices below $50, but this psychological mark was successfully overcome after a month of testing.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/oil-cl-wti-fundamental-review-and-forecast/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 323
AUD / USD Technical analysis - 12/27/2018 8:24:54 AM   
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The pair seeks to refresh lows
In the last trading days of this year, we observe that the fall of the dollar has stopped as well as the fall in oil prices.
The weakening of the reserve currency pushed the pair up, and the decline in oil prices supported the downward movement. We observed a delicate balance in this confrontation.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/aud-usd-technical-analysis-1369/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 324
The Year in Review: 2018 - 12/28/2018 8:30:51 AM   
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A look back at the key events of this year.

As another year is around the corner, we thought it would be a good idea to take a look back at some of the most important developments in 2018, since the future is always influenced by the past. Here are some of the major topics that had investors at the edge of their seats this year.

Trade Wars
Hardly anyone would argue that the trade war that Donald Trump started by unilaterally imposing tariffs on imports from other countries is likely the most defining event in terms of economics in 2018. With countries responding with tariffs on their own in retaliation, most notably from China, this year’s trade wars officially began. The full impact of the trade dispute is far from clear, but even a few months into the tariffs, growth started slowing down globally, struggling markets suffered even worse losses, and the demand for oil dropped as industrial activity staggered.

The United States and China agreed to a temporary (90-day) truce to last between January and March 2019, during which they would not impose further tariffs on each other and focus on negotiations instead. However, as the two countries engaged in such talks on and off multiple times in 2018 to no avail, investors are not exactly optimistic about the two leading economies managing to resolve all of their crucial differences in such a short amount of time.

The Crisis of Developing Markets
Developing countries such as Argentina and Turkey had a very rough year. As is the case with many such economies, they have large international debts in USD. But with the economic climate improving constantly in the United States, the Federal Reserve had to hike rates four times this year alone. This led to a very strong dollar, making developing countries’ debts worth way more than they used to be. Argentina had to ask for a bailout by the IMF, while Turkey’s lira crashed dramatically.

Even stronger economies, such as Europe’s Italy and France, have a dark shadow of stagnant growth looming over their shoulder in this economic climate.

Brexit
The issue of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union has been on investors’ minds for over a year now, but with the March 29 deadline approaching fast and no deal in sight, it has become a particularly hot topic. The UK’s Prime Minister Theresa May even survived a vote of no confidence which came after she delayed the vote on the deal she negotiated with the European Union, once it became clear how strongly the UK Parliament opposes this agreement. The EU has not offered anything better and a vote on this deal will happen in January, though a win is not likely. In that case the United Kingdom will have 21 days to offer a new deal. Nevertheless, the European Union has been firm in their terms, so there isn’t much else the United Kingdom might bring forward to the discussion table that the bloc might consider.

The biggest problem with Brexit has been that the politicians pushing for the leave vote expected to have a perfect Brexit, negotiate the best possible conditions whereby the United Kingdom gets to enjoy the benefits of the EU (free access to their single market, etc.) without any of the negatives (free movement of people), which was never a real possibility in reality. The European Union wants to make this divorce difficult to discourage any other member states from thinking about leaving.

At this moment in time, a no deal Brexit seems the most likely. This makes the United Kingdom a major source of uncertainty in Europe.

Oil Prices Collapse
Oil prices were climbing steadily in 2017 and this year managed to reach levels from 2014 near $80. However, the lower demand due to the economic slowdown in many countries and the trade war between the US and China, as well as the United States’ continued effort to increase oil production led to another state of oversupply on the market. OPEC members managed to agree earlier this month on another production cut, but unfortunately, this did not stabilize prices much. This week oil slumped below $50, undoing most of the hard work of the past two years to increase oil prices.

In other words, 2018 was quite a busy year, but it seems many of the trends started this year are yet to produce results, so we need to look to 2019 for their resolution.

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Post #: 325
Yen Surges after Market Scare - 1/4/2019 7:55:13 AM   
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Apple shares dropped massively, sending investors scrambling.
Last night the Japanese yen experienced a flash crash, whereby it rose in price dramatically in a very short period of time. The rapid increase was due to international traders suddenly trying to buy the yen as a safety asset after news from Apple Inc. that their profits shrank in December much more than anticipated.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/economy-articles/yen-surges-after-market-scare/?x=FORUMS


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Post #: 326
EUR/USD Technical Analysis - 1/8/2019 7:34:24 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The dollar weakens.
Among the significant events of today, we expect the release of data regarding the US labor market. The data currently released from the EU did not show the best performance.
Despite this, the momentum of the pair received an upward boost and at the moment it has overcome the level of 1.1440.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/eur-usd-technical-analysis-080119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 327
NZD/USD: Review & Forecast - 1/9/2019 7:59:49 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The NZD doesn't have enough support for strengthening. The deals to SELL seem to be the most effective at the moment.
The rates continue within the downtrend in favor of the USD. The New Zealand dollar continues to be under pressure due to the economic downturn in New Zealand and the trade conflict between China and the USA, which affected the NZD most as a commodity currency.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/nzd-usd-review-forecast-090119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 328
EUR/USD Technical Analysis - 1/10/2019 5:59:25 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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We are looking for entry points.
During yesterday's trading session the pair managed to gain over 100 pips and exceeded the 1.1540 level.
During the negotiations between the US and China the market was optimistic and American indices grew, while the dollar showed a decline. The dollar index fell below the 95.00 mark.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/eur-usd-technical-analysis-100119/?x=FORUMS


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Post #: 329
Trump vs. the Shutdown - 1/11/2019 8:12:55 AM   
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For three weeks now the conflict over the US budget has been ongoing.
Although articles by different news agencies have tiptoed around it in their work on the topic, there is no other way to put it, really: President Trump is holding the US government hostage. In a situation which has been going on since late December, Donald Trump continues to stall the efforts of Congress to pass a budget to fund governmental activities for 2019. Here is the what, how, and why of it all.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/economy-articles/trump-vs-the-shutdown/?x=FORUMS


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Post #: 330
EUR/USD Technical Analysis & Daily Chart - 1/14/2019 8:19:20 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The pair is in a tough spot, but today we can place buy orders.
Today we would take a look at the EUR/USD currency pair. The pair recently went through a brief recovery period, before turning bearish once more.
The euro is still having a hard time rallying. Last week it managed to push the EUR/USD pair up to 1.15 but then it began retreating again due to disappointing fundamentals from the eurozone.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/eur-usd-technical-analysis-daily-chart-140119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 331
GBP/USD Technical Analysis - 1/15/2019 8:52:47 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The pair is in a correction.
The dollar index in today's trading session scored over 20 basis points and the pair has began entering a correction.
Moreover, a new vote on Brexit puts pressure on our pair. The current British Prime Minister Theresa May might resign if her deal fails and this gives a negative push for the pound.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/gbp-usd-technical-analysis-150119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 332
EUR/AUD: Fundamental Review & Forecast - 1/16/2019 7:37:18 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The price correction is going to be over and the deals on the trend seem the most effective.
The quotes continue within the upward trend in favor of the euro. Both currencies were under pressure last year: the euro due to economic slowdown and political problems, the AUD due to the pressure of the US-China trade conflict and the economic downturn. Overall, today it is difficult to find a country that would demonstrate strong economic growth.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/eur-aud-fundamental-review-forecast-160119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 333
GBP/USD Technical Analysis - 1/17/2019 9:10:44 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The pair rises.
After a no-confidence voting yesterday, Theresa May was able to remain in her current position and continued negotiations with rival parties on the Brexit treaty. As a result, the British pound was able to strengthen.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/gbp-usd-technical-analysis-170119/?x=FORUMS


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Post #: 334
The Chaos of Brexit - 1/18/2019 8:23:42 AM   
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May's deal failed, the government survived the vote of no confidence, but what happens now?
This week we must return to the topic of Brexit once again, since the United Kingdom is dangerously close to the March 29 deadline with no deal in sight, and this is leaving way too many questions open for investors. Let’s take a look at what we know about the UK’s exit from the European Union.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/economy-articles/the-chaos-of-brexit/?x=FORUMS


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Post #: 335
EUR/USD Technical Analysis & Daily Chart - 1/21/2019 8:50:58 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The pair remains bearish, so a strong sell is recommended.
Today we would take a look at the EUR/USD currency pair. The pair was falling gradually all throughout last week.
The overall sentiment in Europe right now is not positive. Politically, the bloc is currently experiencing several tremors - the ongoing issue of Brexit is one, the yellow vest protests in France, as well as the EU-skeptic government in Italy, are just a few of the reasons why investors are turning their attention away from the EU.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/eur-usd-technical-analysis-daily-chart-210119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 336
GBP/USD Technical Analysis - 1/22/2019 7:59:25 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The pair is on the rise.
After last week’s vote on the confidence in the government Theresa May, she remained as Prime Minister and the British pound began to strengthen.
The dollar index is also strengthening, and since yesterday's trading session it has returned above the 96.00 mark.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/gbp-usd-technical-analysis-220119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 337
Video Analytics - 1/23/2019 8:49:33 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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EUR/USD - We expect the price to reach the marks of 1.1305 and 1.1280.

GBP/USD - We see an increase and an update of local maxima.

AUD/USD - We recommend taking short positions from the 0.7150 level.

USD/CAD - We see that the MA intersects

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLlVbAciJFk

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Post #: 338
GBP/USD Technical Analysis - 1/24/2019 8:16:46 AM   
SFXOfficial

 

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The pair is adjusted
Since the beginning of today's trading session the dollar index returned above the level of 96.00 and shows a moderate growth, rising to the maximum values ​​of the current month.
More information see here
https://superforex.com/analytics/gbp-usd-technical-analysis-240119/?x=FORUMS

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Post #: 339
Davos 2019: Overview - 1/25/2019 8:35:59 AM   
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This week one of the most important global events is taking place, the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Davos is known to be a gathering of the most important global leaders, who seclude themselves for several days in the Swiss winter resort to discuss their plans for the future and set the political agenda for the year ahead. Last year the forum drew immense attention and President Trump used it to announce his plans to “fix” the inequality of global trade by implementing trade tariffs, a decision that ended up reverberating throughout 2018. This year, however, Trump chose not to attend the event; the US President has been increasingly isolating himself even at previous gatherings, such as the G8 and G20 summits. So, what does the economic forum look like this year?
Despite Trump’s absence, a number of key figures are attending the forum. For starters, Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel will be there; she will be joined also by Japanese PM Shinzo Abe, the President of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro, Israel’s PM Benjamin Netanyahu, the PM of New Zealand Jacinda Ardern, Italian PM Giuseppe Conte, and many other political leaders. The IMF Director Christine Lagarde will also be in attendance. Besides Trump’s administration (who cancelled their visit due to the government shutdown that they are causing), other notable faces who are missing are those of French President Macron, as well as British PM Theresa May. With the protests in France and the Brexit shenanigans in the United Kingdom, both of them are too busy with domestic issues and chose to skip the global forum.
This year the theme of the symposium has to do with globalization and what they call the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Common topics that circulate the forum each year include climate change, income inequality, and global economic growth.
One of the issues discussed this week was Venezuela. The South-American country had slipped into a major economic crisis with inflation over 80,000% and a widespread famine. The issue was caused when populist President Maduro decided to start printing more money, without considering the implications for inflation. Venezuela is a country very rich in crude oil, but even that did not save them, as the inflation made it too expensive to run the refineries and they had to withdraw from the oil market. This week the people of Venezuela chose the opposition leader Juan Guaido as President; he was recognized by the rest of South America, as well as Canada and the United States, even though Maduro refuses to accept the vote. Guaido plans to serve as an interim leader and hold free elections in the near future.
Another achievement noted during the forum was Africa’s recent success to unite 49 countries across the continent in a free trade agreement. This is supposed to foster further cooperation between the countries and help drive economic growth upward by forming a single market.
When it came to Europe, there were a number of differing opinions presented. Italy’s PM Conte gave a speech in a rather subdued tone, painting a grim picture of Europe’s future. Note that his government is mostly euro-skeptical and last year had a three-month-long dispute with the European Commission over its budget. Conte pointed to growing poverty in Italy and a need for better welfare programs.
Angela Merkel, on the other hand, was more positive in her speech. She discussed how the world is overall better off today than several decades ago and how the key to improving what we have today is for politicians to work together internationally. This could, from some perspectives, be seen as a direct response to Conte, since the Italian government’s desire to increase spending would have had a negative impact throughout the entire eurozone.
Merkel’s message about global cooperation was echoed in China’s Vice President Wang Qishan’s talk. He spoke about China’s economic development and his desire that this happens together with the rest of the world, urging politicians not to get too preoccupied with national interests.
Mike Pompeo, who spoke via a video call, said that there are hopes for resolving the trade dispute with China. The United States and China are working hard to negotiate a deal to solve their trade dispute, as almost two-thirds of their 90-day truce have passed.


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